UEFA Nations League 2026/27 — League A

2026/2027·Updated 2026-10-27 17:34 UTC

Informational only — no odds, value or stakes are published for national-team matches. 18+.

Next League A ·Matchday 5

Turkey

18:00 Thu 12 Nov

Belgium

32% 29% 39%

Expected goals 1.28–1.42·BTTS 56%·Likeliest 1:1

League A is one of the four strength-based divisions of the UEFA Nations League. This page carries its 4 groups, the live table for each, and every 2026/27 fixture with our model's win, draw and loss probabilities for the matches where we hold ratings for both nations.

• All leagues
• League A 16
• League B 16
• League C 16
• League D 6

Standings

Group 1

#	Team	Pl	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FranceQF	4	3	1	0	7	2	+5	10
2	ItalyQF	4	2	1	1	8	5	+3	7
3	BelgiumPlay-off?	4	2	0	2	6	5	+1	6
4	TurkeyAt risk	4	0	0	4	2	11	-9	0

Group 2

#	Team	Pl	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	NetherlandsQF	4	2	2	0	7	5	+2	8
2	GreeceQF	4	2	2	0	5	3	+2	8
3	GermanyPlay-off?	4	1	2	1	3	2	+1	5
4	SerbiaAt risk	4	0	0	4	3	8	-5	0

Group 3

#	Team	Pl	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	SpainQF	4	4	0	0	12	5	+7	12
2	EnglandQF	4	3	0	1	14	3	+11	9
3	CroatiaPlay-off?	4	1	0	3	4	14	-10	3
4	Czech RepublicAt risk	4	0	0	4	2	10	-8	0

Group 4

#	Team	Pl	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PortugalQF	4	4	0	0	9	4	+5	12
2	DenmarkQF	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
3	WalesPlay-off?	4	1	0	3	2	5	-3	3
4	NorwayAt risk	4	1	0	3	6	8	-2	3

Knockout route Draw pending

Places as the table stands — nobody has qualified yet.

League A · Group 1

1 France 10 pts

2 Italy 7 pts

League A · Group 2

1 Netherlands 8 pts

2 Greece 8 pts

League A · Group 3

1 Spain 12 pts

2 England 9 pts

League A · Group 4

1 Portugal 12 pts

2 Denmark 6 pts

1. Quarter-finals·25-30 March 2027·4 ties
2. Semi-finals·9-13 June 2027·2 ties
3. Third-place play-off·9-13 June 2027·1 tie
4. Final·9-13 June 2027·1 tie

Fixtures

Model read shown on 16 of 16 fixtures — the ones where we hold a rating for both nations.

Thu 12 Nov

• Czech Republic 20:45 Spain

  League A · Matchday 5 · epet ARENA

  2% 13% 85%

  Expected goals 0.25–2.45·BTTS 21%·Likeliest 0:2

• England 20:45 Croatia

  League A · Matchday 5 · Wembley Stadium

  72% 20% 8%

  Expected goals 2.13–0.57·BTTS 40%·Likeliest 2:0

• Italy 20:45 France

  League A · Matchday 5

  20% 27% 54%

  Expected goals 0.97–1.73·BTTS 53%·Likeliest 1:1

Fri 13 Nov

• Serbia 20:45 Germany

  League A · Matchday 5 · Stadion Rajko Mit

  18% 26% 56%

  Expected goals 0.94–1.76·BTTS 52%·Likeliest 1:1

• Netherlands 20:45 Greece

  League A · Matchday 5 · Johan Cruijff Arena

  75% 19% 6%

  Expected goals 2.18–0.52·BTTS 37%·Likeliest 2:0

Sat 14 Nov

• Norway 18:00 Wales

  League A · Matchday 5 · Ullevaal Stadion

  81% 15% 4%

  Expected goals 2.33–0.37·BTTS 28%·Likeliest 2:0

• Portugal 20:45 Denmark

  League A · Matchday 5

  60% 25% 15%

  Expected goals 1.86–0.84·BTTS 49%·Likeliest 1:1

Sun 15 Nov

• France 20:45 Turkey

  League A · Matchday 6 · Stade Atlantique

  70% 21% 9%

  Expected goals 2.06–0.64·BTTS 42%·Likeliest 2:0

• Spain 20:45 England

  League A · Matchday 6 · Metropolitano Stadium

  58% 26% 17%

  Expected goals 1.81–0.89·BTTS 51%·Likeliest 1:1

• Croatia 20:45 Czech Republic

  League A · Matchday 6 · Opus Arena

  65% 23% 12%

  Expected goals 1.95–0.75·BTTS 46%·Likeliest 2:0

• Belgium 20:45 Italy

  League A · Matchday 6 · King Baudouin Stadium

  58% 25% 16%

  Expected goals 1.82–0.88·BTTS 50%·Likeliest 1:1

Mon 16 Nov

• Greece 20:45 Serbia

  League A · Matchday 6

  44% 28% 28%

  Expected goals 1.52–1.18·BTTS 56%·Likeliest 1:1

• Germany 20:45 Netherlands

  League A · Matchday 6

  42% 29% 29%

  Expected goals 1.50–1.20·BTTS 56%·Likeliest 1:1

Tue 17 Nov

• Wales 20:45 Portugal

  League A · Matchday 6

  12% 23% 64%

  Expected goals 0.75–1.95·BTTS 46%·Likeliest 0:2

• Denmark 20:45 Norway

  League A · Matchday 6

  29% 29% 42%

  Expected goals 1.20–1.50·BTTS 56%·Likeliest 1:1