Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom prediction
Kick-off ·Ekstraklasa
These are statistical model estimates, not tips and not a guarantee of any result. We have not shown that the model beats the bookmaker market (no proven edge). 18+ | Not financial advice.
Summary
Korona Kielce are the model's clear favourites at home at 63%, with Radomiak Radom at 14% and the draw at 23%. The goals model points to a balanced goals line, with Over 2.5 at 56% on about 2.9 expected goals. The most likely single scoreline is 2:0 at 11%, which shows how thinly probability spreads in one match.
Model probabilities
| Market | Probability |
|---|---|
| Korona Kielce win | 62.9% |
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Radomiak Radom win | 14.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.2% |
| Both teams to score | 52.6% |
Expected goals from the model: Korona Kielce 2.047, Radomiak Radom 0.889. Probabilities come from a Poisson goal model; see how the model works.
Most likely scorelines
- 2:0 — 11.1%
- 1:0 — 10.9%
- 2:1 — 9.9%
Form and table context
Korona Kielce are 10th with 18 points from 13 games; Radomiak Radom are 15th with 11 points from 13 games.
How far to trust this
One match is a very small sample. Even a well-calibrated model is wrong about individual games most of the time, and ours has not been shown to be better than bookmaker prices. Our measured results, including losses, are on the prediction accuracy page and every settled pick is in the public pick log.
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Model output last changed 2026-11-02 23:13 UTC. All upcoming match predictions