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Public pick log

Settled picks only, newest first

Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.

Summary

As of 2026-11-02, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 550 settled picks (285 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.54% with a 95% interval of -7.1% to +10.2% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.

Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.1%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.

How we measure this · Model methodology

Log

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1067 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).

#Match dateMatchLeagueMarketOddsModel prob.OutcomeIssued (UTC)Flags
10842026-11-02Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin (3-1)EkstraklasaPogon Szczecin Win 3.35 31.4% lost2026-11-02 14:32:04 pre-kickoff
10772026-11-02Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen (0-2)SuperligaBTTS 1.73 59.2% lost2026-11-01 18:34:21 pre-kickoff
10662026-11-02Benfica vs Alverca (1-0)Primeira LigaBTTS 1.98 54.5% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10652026-11-02Dep. A Coruna vs Osasuna (2-1)La LigaDep. A Coruna Win 2.25 45.7% won2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10642026-11-02Sassuolo vs Fiorentina (2-4)Serie ABTTS 1.52 67.7% won2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10522026-11-02Atalanta vs Parma (0-3)Serie AOver 2.5 goals 1.77 57.1% won2026-10-26 12:24:46 pre-kickoff
10482026-11-02Sassuolo vs Fiorentina (2-4)Serie AOver 2.5 goals 1.71 62.2% won2026-10-25 21:22:42 pre-kickoff
10832026-11-01Belgrano vs Barracas Central (2-2)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraBelgrano Win 1.80 68.3% lost2026-11-01 22:04:02 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10822026-11-01Atlanta Utd vs Toronto FC (3-1)MLS - Regular seasonAtlanta Utd Win 2.08 58.5% won2026-11-01 22:04:02 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10812026-11-01Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls (3-2)MLS - Regular seasonNashville SC Win 1.88 60.9% won2026-11-01 22:04:02 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10762026-11-01Elche vs Valencia (0-1)La LigaValencia Win 3.50 30.0% won2026-11-01 18:34:21 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10742026-11-01Lyon vs Angers (2-0)Ligue 1Over 2.5 goals 1.74 58.4% lost2026-11-01 12:33:36 pre-kickoff
10732026-11-01Telstar vs Utrecht (4-2)EredivisieBTTS 1.59 65.1% won2026-11-01 12:33:36 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10722026-11-01Telstar vs Utrecht (4-2)EredivisieOver 2.5 goals 1.66 64.0% won2026-11-01 12:33:36 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10712026-11-01Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam (2-3)EredivisieBTTS 1.78 62.3% won2026-11-01 06:32:36 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10632026-11-01Marseille vs Toulouse (2-0)Ligue 1BTTS 1.50 68.7% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10622026-11-01Valerenga vs Tromso (4-0)EliteserienBTTS 1.68 63.1% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10612026-11-01Vasteras SK vs Brommapojkarna (1-0)AllsvenskanOver 2.5 goals 1.75 58.4% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10602026-11-01Huachipato vs La Serena (0-0)Primera DivisiónBTTS 1.51 67.3% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10592026-11-01Huachipato vs La Serena (0-0)Primera DivisiónOver 2.5 goals 1.67 64.0% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff
10582026-11-01Strasbourg vs Auxerre (5-1)Ligue 1BTTS 1.56 65.5% won2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10572026-11-01Viborg vs Horsens (1-0)SuperligaBTTS 1.69 60.0% lost2026-11-01 00:31:35 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10532026-11-01Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad (2-1)La LigaOver 2.5 goals 1.77 57.6% won2026-10-26 18:25:37 pre-kickoff
10502026-11-01Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad (2-1)La LigaAth Bilbao Win 2.18 47.6% won2026-10-26 06:23:55 pre-kickoff
10232026-11-01Union Berlin vs FC Koln (1-1)BundesligaUnion Berlin Win 2.84 36.8% lost2026-10-22 18:11:07 pre-kickoff
9932026-11-01Marseille vs Toulouse (2-0)Ligue 1Over 2.5 goals 1.69 63.6% lost2026-10-18 20:52:58 pre-kickoff
10552026-10-31Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart (2-4)BundesligaBayer Leverkusen Win 1.85 55.3% lost2026-10-27 12:28:20 pre-kickoff
10512026-10-31Nice vs Rennes (5-2)Ligue 1Nice Win 2.84 36.3% won2026-10-26 12:24:46 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10462026-10-31KV Mechelen vs Genk (1-0)First Division AOver 2.5 goals 1.69 62.5% lost2026-10-25 18:22:06 pre-kickoff
10382026-10-31Chelsea vs Manchester Utd (2-0)Premier LeagueChelsea Win 2.08 49.5% won2026-10-24 21:18:54 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
10362026-10-31Bolton vs Bristol City (2-3)ChampionshipOver 2.5 goals 1.69 61.2% won2026-10-24 15:18:02 pre-kickoff
9922026-10-31Levante vs Atl. Madrid (0-2)La LigaOver 2.5 goals 1.66 63.3% lost2026-10-18 20:52:58 pre-kickoff
10352026-10-30Coquimbo vs Union La Calera (1-0)Primera DivisiónCoquimbo Win 1.86 55.6% won2026-10-24 15:18:02 pre-kickoff
10442026-10-29St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers (2-3)MLS - Regular seasonSt. Louis City Win 1.79 58.4% lost2026-10-25 06:20:19 pre-kickoff
10432026-10-29FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonFC Dallas Win 2.17 47.6% lost2026-10-25 06:20:19 pre-kickoff
10022026-10-29Orgryte vs Mjallby (1-2)AllsvenskanOver 2.5 goals 1.66 61.1% won2026-10-20 15:00:24 pre-kickoff
9652026-10-29Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City (3-1)MLS - Regular seasonMinnesota United Win 2.84 36.4% won2026-10-17 05:45:43 pre-kickoff
9912026-10-28Monza vs Napoli (1-4)Serie AOver 2.5 goals 1.77 57.2% won2026-10-18 20:52:58 pre-kickoff
10562026-10-27AIK vs Elfsborg (2-2)AllsvenskanElfsborg Win 2.15 56.6% lost2026-10-27 18:29:11 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10452026-10-27Sassuolo vs Lazio (2-6)Serie ALazio Win 2.35 43.9% won2026-10-25 12:21:12 pre-kickoff
10342026-10-27Torino vs Como (1-3)Serie AOver 2.5 goals 1.75 58.9% won2026-10-24 15:18:02 pre-kickoff
10422026-10-26Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield (0-5)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraVelez Sarsfield Win 2.23 46.3% won2026-10-25 06:20:19 pre-kickoff
10002026-10-26Queretaro vs Cruz Azul (1-3)Liga MXOver 2.5 goals 1.72 61.6% won2026-10-20 08:59:18 pre-kickoff
9982026-10-26Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. (3-1)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraUnion de Santa Fe Win 2.95 35.4% won2026-10-19 20:57:03 pre-kickoff
10472026-10-25Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu (1-2)Primeira LigaSporting CP Win 2.12 55.5% lost2026-10-25 21:22:42 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10412026-10-25Sittard vs Excelsior (1-0)EredivisieOver 2.5 goals 1.75 58.8% lost2026-10-25 06:20:19 pre-kickoff
10402026-10-25DC United vs FC Cincinnati (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonFC Cincinnati Win 2.55 48.9% won2026-10-25 00:19:27 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
10372026-10-25Goztepe vs Corum (2-0)Süper LigOver 2.5 goals 1.67 63.0% lost2026-10-24 21:18:54 pre-kickoff
10282026-10-25Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen (3-0)BundesligaHoffenheim Win 2.92 35.3% won2026-10-23 12:13:55 pre-kickoff
10272026-10-25DC United vs FC Cincinnati (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonDC United Win 2.88 35.8% lost2026-10-23 12:13:55 pre-kickoff

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