Nijmegen vs Omonia prediction
Kick-off ·UEFA Europa League
These are statistical model estimates, not tips and not a guarantee of any result. We have not shown that the model beats the bookmaker market (no proven edge). 18+ | Not financial advice.
Summary
Omonia are the model's clear favourites away from home at 60%, with Nijmegen at 12% and the draw at 28%. The goals model points to a tighter game: Over 2.5 goals is rated at only 36% on about 2.2 expected goals, while both teams scoring is rated below even (36%). The most likely single scoreline is 0:1 at 18%, which shows how thinly probability spreads in one match.
Model probabilities
| Market | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nijmegen win | 12.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Omonia win | 60.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.5% |
| Both teams to score | 36.2% |
Expected goals from the model: Nijmegen 0.578, Omonia 1.578. Probabilities come from a Poisson goal model; see how the model works.
Most likely scorelines
- 0:1 — 18.3%
- 0:2 — 14.4%
- 0:0 — 11.6%
Form and table context
Nijmegen are 20th in their domestic league with 4 points from 3 games; Omonia are 11th in their domestic league with 6 points from 3 games.
How far to trust this
One match is a very small sample. Even a well-calibrated model is wrong about individual games most of the time, and ours has not been shown to be better than bookmaker prices. Our measured results, including losses, are on the prediction accuracy page and every settled pick is in the public pick log.
Open this match in the app
Lineups, live score and the full model view for Nijmegen vs Omonia. Free plan, no credit card.
View in the appCreate a free account · 18+
Model output last changed 2026-11-01 22:24 UTC. All upcoming match predictions