Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice prediction
Kick-off ·Ekstraklasa
These are statistical model estimates, not tips and not a guarantee of any result. We have not shown that the model beats the bookmaker market (no proven edge). 18+ | Not financial advice.
Summary
Piast Gliwice are the model's slight favourites away from home at 42%, with Slask Wroclaw at 31% and the draw at 27%. The goals model points to a balanced goals line, with Over 2.5 at 57% on about 3.0 expected goals, and both teams scoring is more likely than not (61%). The most likely single scoreline is 1:1 at 11%, which shows how thinly probability spreads in one match.
Model probabilities
| Market | Probability |
|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw win | 30.8% |
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Piast Gliwice win | 42.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.0% |
| Both teams to score | 60.9% |
Expected goals from the model: Slask Wroclaw 1.357, Piast Gliwice 1.612. Probabilities come from a Poisson goal model; see how the model works.
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1 — 11.2%
- 1:2 — 9.1%
- 0:1 — 8.3%
Form and table context
Slask Wroclaw are 16th with 9 points from 13 games; Piast Gliwice are 7th with 21 points from 13 games.
How far to trust this
One match is a very small sample. Even a well-calibrated model is wrong about individual games most of the time, and ours has not been shown to be better than bookmaker prices. Our measured results, including losses, are on the prediction accuracy page and every settled pick is in the public pick log.
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Model output last changed 2026-11-02 23:13 UTC. All upcoming match predictions