Public pick log
Settled picks only, newest first
Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.
Summary
As of 2026-11-03, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 551 settled picks (286 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.70% with a 95% interval of -6.9% to +10.3% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.
Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.0%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.
How we measure this · Model methodology
Log
1068 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).
| # | Match date | Match | League | Market | Odds | Model prob. | Outcome | Issued (UTC) | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2026-03-14 | Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice (1-2) | Ekstraklasa | BTTS | 1.75 | 66.6% | won | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 17 | 2026-03-14 | GKS Katowice vs Lechia Gdansk (2-0) | Ekstraklasa | BTTS | 1.57 | 71.3% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 16 | 2026-03-14 | PSV vs Nijmegen (2-3) | Eredivisie | BTTS | 1.40 | 79.6% | won | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 15 | 2026-03-14 | PSV vs Nijmegen (2-3) | Eredivisie | Nijmegen Win | 5.41 | 22.1% | won | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 14 | 2026-03-14 | Heerenveen vs Telstar (3-0) | Eredivisie | Telstar Win | 4.14 | 24.8% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 13 | 2026-03-14 | FC Volendam vs Sittard (1-2) | Eredivisie | BTTS | 1.50 | 67.9% | won | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 12 | 2026-03-14 | FC Volendam vs Sittard (1-2) | Eredivisie | FC Volendam Win | 2.27 | 44.4% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 11 | 2026-03-14 | Arsenal vs Everton (2-0) | Premier League | Everton Win | 8.84 | 11.7% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 10 | 2026-03-14 | West Ham vs Manchester City (1-1) | Premier League | Manchester City Win | 1.69 | 60.2% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 9 | 2026-03-14 | Burnley vs Bournemouth (0-0) | Premier League | BTTS | 1.62 | 66.2% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 8 | 2026-03-14 | Sunderland vs Brighton (0-1) | Premier League | Sunderland Win | 3.25 | 35.3% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 7 | 2026-03-14 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich (1-1) | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen Win | 4.92 | 20.6% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 6 | 2026-03-14 | Angers vs Nice (0-2) | Ligue 1 | Angers Win | 2.86 | 40.3% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 5 | 2026-03-14 | Lorient vs Lens (2-1) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.70 | 65.3% | won | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 4 | 2026-03-14 | Monaco vs Brest (2-0) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.62 | 66.6% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 3 | 2026-03-13 | Radomiak Radom vs Legia (1-1) | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom Win | 2.84 | 42.5% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | issued after kick-off (excluded from summary) |
| 2 | 2026-03-13 | B. Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli (2-0) | Bundesliga | St. Pauli Win | 3.94 | 25.4% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | issued after kick-off (excluded from summary) |
| 1 | 2026-03-13 | Marseille vs Auxerre (1-0) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.91 | 52.7% | lost | 2026-03-13 19:41:49 | pre-kickoff |
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