Public pick log
Settled picks only, newest first
Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.
Summary
As of 2026-11-03, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 551 settled picks (286 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.70% with a 95% interval of -6.9% to +10.3% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.
Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.0%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.
How we measure this · Model methodology
Log
1068 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).
| # | Match date | Match | League | Market | Odds | Model prob. | Outcome | Issued (UTC) | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 831 | 2026-09-13 | Real Sociedad vs Atl. Madrid (0-3) | La Liga | Real Sociedad Win | 3.40 | 30.9% | lost | 2026-09-13 08:46:39 | pre-kickoff |
| 827 | 2026-09-13 | Brest vs PSG (0-1) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.77 | 62.0% | lost | 2026-09-12 23:45:16 | pre-kickoff |
| 826 | 2026-09-13 | PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam (4-1) | Eredivisie | BTTS | 1.62 | 64.1% | won | 2026-09-12 23:45:16 | pre-kickoff |
| 825 | 2026-09-13 | Le Mans vs Lens (2-2) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.69 | 60.3% | won | 2026-09-12 23:45:16 | pre-kickoff |
| 824 | 2026-09-13 | Urawa Reds vs Okayama (1-2) | J1 League | BTTS | 1.77 | 58.8% | won | 2026-09-12 23:45:16 | pre-kickoff |
| 823 | 2026-09-13 | Monterrey vs Tigres UANL (0-0) | Liga MX | BTTS | 1.70 | 59.9% | lost | 2026-09-12 23:45:16 | pre-kickoff |
| 822 | 2026-09-13 | Inter Miami vs Nashville SC (2-2) | MLS - Regular season | Inter Miami Win | 3.35 | 36.0% | lost | 2026-09-12 23:45:16 | issued after kick-off (excluded from summary) |
| 820 | 2026-09-13 | Sheffield Utd vs Wolves (0-1) | Championship | BTTS | 1.65 | 63.5% | lost | 2026-09-12 17:44:09 | pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix |
| 817 | 2026-09-13 | Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Krakow (2-0) | Ekstraklasa | BTTS | 1.82 | 57.5% | lost | 2026-09-12 14:43:44 | pre-kickoff |
| 808 | 2026-09-13 | Lille vs Troyes (2-0) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.96 | 54.1% | lost | 2026-09-11 23:41:05 | pre-kickoff |
| 807 | 2026-09-13 | Malmo FF vs Orgryte (4-1) | Allsvenskan | BTTS | 2.04 | 50.4% | won | 2026-09-11 17:39:49 | pre-kickoff |
| 799 | 2026-09-13 | Lille vs Troyes (2-0) | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 59.7% | lost | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 788 | 2026-09-13 | Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Krakow (2-0) | Ekstraklasa | Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 62.8% | lost | 2026-09-07 20:55:26 | pre-kickoff |
| 786 | 2026-09-13 | Amedspor vs Basaksehir (5-0) | Süper Lig | Amedspor Win | 3.18 | 34.1% | won | 2026-09-07 14:54:30 | pre-kickoff |
| 785 | 2026-09-13 | Monterrey vs Tigres UANL (0-0) | Liga MX | Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 62.9% | lost | 2026-09-07 14:54:30 | pre-kickoff |
| 783 | 2026-09-13 | Palestino vs U. Catolica (2-3) | Primera División | Palestino Win | 3.21 | 32.9% | lost | 2026-09-06 23:51:48 | pre-kickoff |
| 779 | 2026-09-13 | Sheffield Utd vs Wolves (0-1) | Championship | Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 63.9% | lost | 2026-09-06 14:50:21 | pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix |
| 736 | 2026-09-13 | Le Mans vs Lens (2-2) | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 60.6% | won | 2026-09-01 02:53:19 | pre-kickoff |
| 735 | 2026-09-13 | Excelsior vs Utrecht (1-2) | Eredivisie | Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 61.6% | won | 2026-09-01 02:53:19 | pre-kickoff |
| 821 | 2026-09-12 | Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi (4-3) | Liga Profesional Argentina - Clausura | BTTS | 2.12 | 53.0% | won | 2026-09-12 20:44:34 | issued after kick-off (excluded from summary) |
| 819 | 2026-09-12 | Ath Bilbao vs Elche (1-1) | La Liga | Draw | 3.45 | 34.6% | won | 2026-09-12 17:44:09 | issued after kick-off (excluded from summary) |
| 816 | 2026-09-12 | AIK vs Vasteras SK (1-4) | Allsvenskan | AIK Win | 1.74 | 66.6% | lost | 2026-09-12 14:43:44 | issued after kick-off (excluded from summary) |
| 813 | 2026-09-12 | Gremio vs Vasco (1-2) | Serie A | Gremio Win | 3.06 | 34.7% | lost | 2026-09-12 08:42:56 | pre-kickoff |
| 812 | 2026-09-12 | Cobresal vs Coquimbo (3-2) | Primera División | BTTS | 1.79 | 56.7% | won | 2026-09-12 08:42:56 | pre-kickoff |
| 811 | 2026-09-12 | Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan (2-1) | Ekstraklasa | Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 62.8% | won | 2026-09-12 08:42:56 | pre-kickoff |
| 810 | 2026-09-12 | Genoa vs Frosinone (1-1) | Serie A | Frosinone Win | 3.45 | 31.3% | lost | 2026-09-12 08:42:56 | pre-kickoff |
| 805 | 2026-09-12 | Westerlo vs St. Liege (4-2) | First Division A | BTTS | 1.73 | 61.3% | won | 2026-09-11 17:17:37 | pre-kickoff |
| 804 | 2026-09-12 | Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan (2-1) | Ekstraklasa | BTTS | 1.77 | 60.1% | won | 2026-09-11 17:17:37 | pre-kickoff |
| 803 | 2026-09-12 | Samsunspor vs Corum (1-5) | Süper Lig | BTTS | 1.67 | 64.5% | won | 2026-09-11 17:17:37 | pre-kickoff |
| 802 | 2026-09-12 | Beveren vs St. Truiden (2-0) | First Division A | Beveren Win | 3.18 | 33.3% | won | 2026-09-11 14:41:06 | pre-kickoff |
| 798 | 2026-09-12 | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense (3-1) | Serie A | BTTS | 1.93 | 53.4% | won | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 797 | 2026-09-12 | Ath Bilbao vs Elche (1-1) | La Liga | BTTS | 2.00 | 54.6% | won | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 796 | 2026-09-12 | Ath Bilbao vs Elche (1-1) | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 60.3% | lost | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 795 | 2026-09-12 | Crystal Palace vs Ipswich (2-3) | Premier League | BTTS | 1.74 | 60.6% | won | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 794 | 2026-09-12 | Blackburn vs Millwall (3-1) | Championship | BTTS | 1.71 | 60.9% | won | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 781 | 2026-09-12 | Le Havre vs Angers (0-0) | Ligue 1 | Angers Win | 3.45 | 30.7% | lost | 2026-09-06 20:51:17 | pre-kickoff |
| 754 | 2026-09-12 | Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo (0-2) | J1 League | BTTS | 1.89 | 54.5% | lost | 2026-09-03 13:10:04 | pre-kickoff |
| 734 | 2026-09-12 | FC Koln vs Werder Bremen (1-1) | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 62.2% | lost | 2026-09-01 02:53:19 | pre-kickoff |
| 793 | 2026-09-11 | Sevilla vs Valencia (1-0) | La Liga | BTTS | 2.04 | 53.5% | lost | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 792 | 2026-09-11 | FC Copenhagen vs Horsens (2-0) | Superliga | BTTS | 1.86 | 56.9% | lost | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 791 | 2026-09-11 | Hacken vs Mjallby (1-1) | Allsvenskan | BTTS | 1.62 | 63.1% | won | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 790 | 2026-09-11 | Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers (2-1) | J1 League | BTTS | 1.83 | 57.7% | won | 2026-09-10 20:37:13 | pre-kickoff |
| 787 | 2026-09-10 | Estrela vs Braga (2-1) | Primeira Liga | BTTS | 1.87 | 58.5% | won | 2026-09-07 20:55:26 | pre-kickoff |
| 733 | 2026-09-10 | New York City vs New England Revolution (1-2) | MLS - Regular season | Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 59.9% | won | 2026-09-01 02:53:19 | pre-kickoff |
| 732 | 2026-09-10 | DC United vs Columbus Crew (2-1) | MLS - Regular season | Over 2.5 goals | 1.69 | 61.0% | won | 2026-09-01 02:53:19 | pre-kickoff |
| 725 | 2026-09-09 | Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid (2-1) | UEFA Champions League - League Phase | Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 61.4% | won | 2026-08-29 22:47:44 | pre-kickoff |
| 784 | 2026-09-08 | Limache vs Cobresal (3-0) | Primera División | BTTS | 1.65 | 61.7% | lost | 2026-09-07 08:53:28 | pre-kickoff |
| 778 | 2026-09-08 | Al Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly (0-0) | Saudi League | BTTS | 1.52 | 67.8% | lost | 2026-09-06 14:50:21 | pre-kickoff |
| 772 | 2026-09-08 | Lille vs Betis (2-3) | UEFA Champions League - League Phase | BTTS | 1.70 | 63.2% | won | 2026-09-05 20:46:47 | pre-kickoff |
| 738 | 2026-09-08 | Limache vs Cobresal (3-0) | Primera División | Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 61.9% | won | 2026-09-01 08:54:27 | pre-kickoff |