Public pick log
Settled picks only, newest first
Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.
Summary
As of 2026-11-03, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 551 settled picks (286 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.70% with a 95% interval of -6.9% to +10.3% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.
Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.0%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.
How we measure this · Model methodology
Log
1068 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).
| # | Match date | Match | League | Market | Odds | Model prob. | Outcome | Issued (UTC) | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 2026-03-22 | Feyenoord vs Ajax (1-1) | Eredivisie | BTTS | 1.45 | 77.5% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 115 | 2026-03-22 | Feyenoord vs Ajax (1-1) | Eredivisie | Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 79.5% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 114 | 2026-03-22 | Nijmegen vs Heerenveen (2-2) | Eredivisie | Over 3.5 goals | 2.00 | 63.2% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 113 | 2026-03-22 | Nijmegen vs Heerenveen (2-2) | Eredivisie | BTTS | 1.40 | 76.5% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 112 | 2026-03-22 | Nijmegen vs Heerenveen (2-2) | Eredivisie | Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 79.8% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 111 | 2026-03-22 | Como vs Pisa (5-0) | Serie A | Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 40.7% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 110 | 2026-03-22 | Como vs Pisa (5-0) | Serie A | BTTS | 2.30 | 47.5% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 109 | 2026-03-22 | Como vs Pisa (5-0) | Serie A | Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 62.3% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 108 | 2026-03-22 | Augsburg vs Stuttgart (2-5) | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 47.9% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 107 | 2026-03-22 | Augsburg vs Stuttgart (2-5) | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 68.4% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 106 | 2026-03-22 | Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt (2-1) | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 42.4% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 105 | 2026-03-22 | Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt (2-1) | Bundesliga | BTTS | 1.60 | 65.0% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 104 | 2026-03-22 | Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt (2-1) | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 63.7% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 103 | 2026-03-22 | Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt (2-1) | Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt Win | 3.16 | 34.1% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 102 | 2026-03-22 | Rennes vs Metz (0-0) | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 47.1% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix |
| 101 | 2026-03-22 | Rennes vs Metz (0-0) | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 67.8% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix |
| 100 | 2026-03-22 | Marseille vs Lille (1-2) | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 49.1% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 99 | 2026-03-22 | Marseille vs Lille (1-2) | Ligue 1 | BTTS | 1.67 | 67.2% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 98 | 2026-03-22 | Marseille vs Lille (1-2) | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 68.9% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 97 | 2026-03-22 | Nantes vs Strasbourg (2-3) | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 38.3% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 96 | 2026-03-22 | Nantes vs Strasbourg (2-3) | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 60.2% | won | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 95 | 2026-03-22 | Lyon vs Monaco (1-2) | Ligue 1 | Lyon Win | 2.61 | 42.5% | lost | 2026-03-17 16:32:43 | pre-kickoff |
| 124 | 2026-03-21 | Everton vs Chelsea (3-0) | Premier League | Chelsea Win | 2.06 | 50.3% | lost | 2026-03-19 17:37:25 | pre-kickoff |
| 123 | 2026-03-21 | Zwolle vs NAC Breda (2-1) | Eredivisie | Zwolle Win | 2.21 | 46.8% | won | 2026-03-18 17:18:02 | pre-kickoff |
| 93 | 2026-03-21 | Elche vs Mallorca (2-1) | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 49.1% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 92 | 2026-03-21 | Elche vs Mallorca (2-1) | La Liga | Elche Win | 2.06 | 50.5% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 91 | 2026-03-21 | Osasuna vs Girona (1-0) | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 3.35 | 32.6% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 90 | 2026-03-21 | Osasuna vs Girona (1-0) | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 54.4% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 89 | 2026-03-21 | Sevilla vs Valencia (0-2) | La Liga | Over 3.5 goals | 4.75 | 25.2% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 88 | 2026-03-21 | Sevilla vs Valencia (0-2) | La Liga | Over 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 46.2% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 87 | 2026-03-21 | Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin (2-1) | Ekstraklasa | Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 43.0% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 86 | 2026-03-21 | Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin (2-1) | Ekstraklasa | Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 64.4% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 85 | 2026-03-21 | Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin (2-1) | Ekstraklasa | Lechia Gdansk Win | 2.21 | 50.9% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 84 | 2026-03-21 | Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock (1-2) | Ekstraklasa | Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 34.2% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 83 | 2026-03-21 | Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock (1-2) | Ekstraklasa | BTTS | 1.83 | 56.8% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 82 | 2026-03-21 | Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock (1-2) | Ekstraklasa | Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 55.9% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 81 | 2026-03-21 | Sittard vs Twente (1-2) | Eredivisie | Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 48.6% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 80 | 2026-03-21 | Sittard vs Twente (1-2) | Eredivisie | Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 69.1% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 79 | 2026-03-21 | Juventus vs Sassuolo (1-1) | Serie A | BTTS | 2.05 | 51.1% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 78 | 2026-03-21 | Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen (0-1) | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 43.5% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 77 | 2026-03-21 | Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen (0-1) | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 64.9% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 76 | 2026-03-21 | Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen (3-3) | Bundesliga | Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 50.5% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 75 | 2026-03-21 | Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen (3-3) | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 70.5% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 74 | 2026-03-21 | Toulouse vs Lorient (1-0) | Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 26.7% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 73 | 2026-03-21 | Toulouse vs Lorient (1-0) | Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 48.1% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 72 | 2026-03-21 | Everton vs Chelsea (3-0) | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 34.5% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 71 | 2026-03-21 | Fulham vs Burnley (3-1) | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 42.0% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 70 | 2026-03-21 | Fulham vs Burnley (3-1) | Premier League | BTTS | 1.85 | 58.3% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 69 | 2026-03-21 | Fulham vs Burnley (3-1) | Premier League | Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 63.0% | won | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |
| 68 | 2026-03-21 | Leeds vs Brentford (0-0) | Premier League | Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 34.4% | lost | 2026-03-16 21:38:57 | pre-kickoff |