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Public pick log

Settled picks only, newest first

Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.

Summary

As of 2026-11-03, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 550 settled picks (285 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.54% with a 95% interval of -7.1% to +10.2% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.

Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.1%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.

How we measure this · Model methodology

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1067 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).

#Match dateMatchLeagueMarketOddsModel prob.OutcomeIssued (UTC)Flags
9802026-10-20AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava (4-0)UEFA Champions League - League PhaseBTTS 1.98 55.1% lost2026-10-18 05:50:19 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
9962026-10-19Al Fayha vs Al Ahli SC (2-3)Saudi LeagueOver 2.5 goals 1.68 61.0% won2026-10-19 14:55:58 pre-kickoff
9832026-10-19Monza vs Cagliari (4-0)Serie ACagliari Win 3.30 31.8% lost2026-10-18 11:51:24 pre-kickoff
9742026-10-19Al Hilal vs Al Hazem (1-0)Saudi LeagueBTTS 2.17 50.7% lost2026-10-17 20:48:34 pre-kickoff
9572026-10-19Al Fayha vs Al Ahli SC (2-3)Saudi LeagueBTTS 1.73 59.6% won2026-10-16 20:43:54 pre-kickoff
9452026-10-19Trabzonspor vs Besiktas (2-0)Süper LigTrabzonspor Win 2.98 35.3% won2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9002026-10-19Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano (1-1)La LigaGetafe Win 2.96 35.1% lost2026-10-08 02:04:31 pre-kickoff
9852026-10-18Odense vs Brondby (2-1)SuperligaOdense Win 1.78 69.5% won2026-10-18 14:51:54 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9812026-10-18Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg (4-0)SuperligaOver 2.5 goals 1.68 60.4% won2026-10-18 08:50:53 pre-kickoff
9782026-10-18New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonNew York Red Bulls Win 2.47 48.0% lost2026-10-17 23:49:05 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9732026-10-18Lyon vs Nice (2-1)Ligue 1Lyon Win 1.86 55.5% won2026-10-17 20:48:34 pre-kickoff
9722026-10-18Kocaelispor vs Goztepe (1-2)Süper LigKocaelispor Win 3.11 33.9% lost2026-10-17 20:48:34 pre-kickoff
9642026-10-18Machida vs Avispa Fukuoka (3-0)J1 LeagueBTTS 1.85 55.5% lost2026-10-17 05:45:43 pre-kickoff
9632026-10-18Toluca vs Atl. San Luis (1-1)Liga MXBTTS 1.67 62.5% won2026-10-17 05:45:43 pre-kickoff
9442026-10-18AC Milan vs Atalanta (3-2)Serie AAC Milan Win 1.91 54.0% won2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9242026-10-18Leeds vs Manchester Utd (1-1)Premier LeagueLeeds Win 2.90 35.7% lost2026-10-10 17:18:40 pre-kickoff
9092026-10-18Fluminense vs Santos (1-2)Serie AFluminense Win 2.25 46.1% lost2026-10-09 17:13:14 pre-kickoff
9052026-10-18Zwolle vs G.A. Eagles (4-1)EredivisieG.A. Eagles Win 2.31 44.9% lost2026-10-08 14:07:17 pre-kickoff
8792026-10-18Paris FC vs Rennes (4-3)Ligue 1Paris FC Win 2.34 44.0% won2026-10-04 01:48:01 pre-kickoff
9712026-10-17Derby vs Stoke (0-1)ChampionshipStoke Win 2.96 35.3% won2026-10-17 14:47:27 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9682026-10-17AIK vs Goteborg (2-2)AllsvenskanOver 2.5 goals 1.68 64.2% won2026-10-17 11:46:51 pre-kickoff
9672026-10-17AIK vs Goteborg (2-2)AllsvenskanAIK Win 2.84 36.4% lost2026-10-17 11:46:51 pre-kickoff
9662026-10-17Platense vs Lanus (0-1)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraLanus Win 2.90 35.7% won2026-10-17 08:46:18 pre-kickoff
9622026-10-17Lille vs Brest (1-1)Ligue 1Lille Win 2.08 49.3% lost2026-10-17 05:45:43 pre-kickoff
9612026-10-17Fulham vs Hull (1-0)Premier LeagueBTTS 1.83 55.6% lost2026-10-17 05:45:43 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
9602026-10-17Mito vs Urawa Reds (0-1)J1 LeagueBTTS 1.88 56.1% lost2026-10-17 05:45:43 pre-kickoff
9592026-10-17Necaxa vs Atlas (0-2)Liga MXAtlas Win 2.25 45.8% won2026-10-17 02:44:51 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9562026-10-17HamKam vs Bodo/Glimt (0-2)EliteserienBTTS 1.79 56.8% lost2026-10-16 20:43:54 pre-kickoff
9552026-10-17Watford vs Charlton (2-0)ChampionshipBTTS 1.76 57.4% lost2026-10-16 20:43:54 pre-kickoff
9532026-10-17Amedspor vs Konyaspor (1-0)Süper LigAmedspor Win 1.96 52.4% won2026-10-16 14:42:32 pre-kickoff
9432026-10-17Ind. Rivadavia vs Tigre (2-2)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraBTTS 2.06 52.6% won2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9422026-10-17AIK vs Goteborg (2-2)AllsvenskanBTTS 1.50 68.0% won2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9412026-10-17Villarreal vs Elche (0-0)La LigaBTTS 1.68 62.0% lost2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9402026-10-17Manchester City vs Ipswich (3-2)Premier LeagueBTTS 1.84 57.7% won2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9392026-10-17Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray (0-1)Süper LigBTTS 1.65 61.9% lost2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9172026-10-17Necaxa vs Atlas (0-2)Liga MXOver 2.5 goals 1.70 61.3% lost2026-10-10 05:16:17 pre-kickoff
8782026-10-17Everton vs Chelsea (0-2)Premier LeagueEverton Win 2.91 35.7% lost2026-10-03 01:44:48 pre-kickoff
9382026-10-16Le Mans vs Toulouse (0-3)Ligue 1BTTS 1.54 67.3% lost2026-10-16 11:41:34 pre-kickoff
9122026-10-16Burnley vs Wolves (1-2)ChampionshipOver 2.5 goals 1.69 59.9% won2026-10-09 20:14:05 pre-kickoff
9112026-10-16Widzew Lodz vs Wisla (0-0)EkstraklasaOver 2.5 goals 1.75 60.7% lost2026-10-09 20:14:05 pre-kickoff
8742026-10-16Le Mans vs Toulouse (0-3)Ligue 1Over 2.5 goals 1.76 62.8% won2026-10-02 13:43:14 pre-kickoff
9372026-10-15FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga (3-0)UECLFC Copenhagen Win 2.65 39.1% won2026-10-15 17:38:16 pre-kickoff
9362026-10-15Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe (1-1)UECLGetafe Win 3.50 32.3% lost2026-10-15 17:38:16 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9352026-10-15Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe (1-1)UECLDraw 3.16 35.9% won2026-10-15 17:38:16 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9342026-10-15KF Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland (1-1)UECLFC Midtjylland Win 1.97 56.1% lost2026-10-15 17:38:16 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9332026-10-15FC Lugano vs Red Star BelgradeUECLFC Lugano Win 2.41 44.9% void2026-10-15 17:38:16 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9322026-10-15Riga FC vs FC Kairat (1-1)UECLRiga FC Win 2.27 47.2% lost2026-10-15 17:38:16 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9312026-10-15Gent vs AGF Aarhus (1-0)UECLGent Win 1.96 55.6% won2026-10-15 17:38:16 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
9302026-10-15Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe (1-1)UECLUniversitatea Craiova Win 3.30 32.2% lost2026-10-15 14:37:29 pre-kickoff
9292026-10-15St. Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC (0-0)MLSSt. Louis City SC Win 3.06 34.6% lost2026-10-15 02:35:09 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)

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