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Public pick log

Settled picks only, newest first

Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.

Summary

As of 2026-11-03, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 551 settled picks (286 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.70% with a 95% interval of -6.9% to +10.3% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.

Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.0%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.

How we measure this · Model methodology

Log

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1068 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).

#Match dateMatchLeagueMarketOddsModel prob.OutcomeIssued (UTC)Flags
7202026-08-29Bristol City vs Portsmouth (2-1)ChampionshipPortsmouth Win 3.50 30.4% lost2026-08-28 10:40:54 pre-kickoff
7192026-08-29Necaxa vs Cruz Azul (1-3)Liga MXOver 2.5 goals 1.73 60.0% won2026-08-28 10:40:54 pre-kickoff
7182026-08-28Alaves vs Villarreal (1-0)La LigaAlaves Win 3.30 32.5% won2026-08-28 10:40:54 pre-kickoff
7172026-08-23Cruz Azul vs Atlas (0-2)Liga MXBTTS 1.85 55.6% lost2026-08-22 06:33:53 pre-kickoff
7162026-08-23San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids (3-0)MLS - Regular seasonSan Diego FC Win 2.10 48.9% won2026-08-22 00:32:25 pre-kickoff
7152026-08-23Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union (1-1)MLS - Regular seasonAustin FC Win 3.35 31.4% lost2026-08-22 00:32:25 pre-kickoff
7082026-08-23La Serena vs Cobresal (3-3)Primera DivisiónLa Serena Win 1.97 52.2% lost2026-08-18 13:56:35 pre-kickoff
7062026-08-23Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla (2-2)EkstraklasaOver 2.5 goals 1.66 62.0% won2026-08-17 16:52:58 pre-kickoff
7012026-08-23Cruz Azul vs Atlas (0-2)Liga MXOver 2.5 goals 1.70 60.3% lost2026-08-16 06:04:28 pre-kickoff
6972026-08-23La Serena vs Cobresal (3-3)Primera DivisiónOver 2.5 goals 1.75 58.2% won2026-08-15 20:35:05 pre-kickoff
6902026-08-23Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew (3-2)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.66 61.4% won2026-08-13 06:26:36 pre-kickoff
7122026-08-22Huachipato vs Limache (1-3)Primera DivisiónBTTS 1.52 68.6% won2026-08-19 23:02:57 pre-kickoff
7112026-08-22Tigres UANL vs Atlante (2-0)Liga MXBTTS 1.87 59.9% lost2026-08-19 01:25:43 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
7092026-08-22A. Italiano vs Union La Calera (0-0)Primera DivisiónA. Italiano Win 2.00 51.6% lost2026-08-18 16:24:00 pre-kickoff
7072026-08-22Tigres UANL vs Atlante (2-0)Liga MXOver 2.5 goals 1.66 65.1% lost2026-08-17 22:53:57 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
6962026-08-22Huachipato vs Limache (1-3)Primera DivisiónOver 2.5 goals 1.75 64.1% won2026-08-15 20:35:05 pre-kickoff
7142026-08-21Sligo Rovers vs Waterford (0-0)Premier DivisionBTTS 1.82 56.5% lost2026-08-21 08:45:08 pre-kickoff
7132026-08-21Cracovia vs Wieczysta Krakow (3-2)EkstraklasaBTTS 1.68 60.6% won2026-08-21 02:08:44 pre-kickoff
7102026-08-21St. Liege vs RAAL La Louviere (2-0)First Division ABTTS 1.83 56.9% lost2026-08-18 22:25:08 pre-kickoff
7042026-08-21Cracovia vs Wieczysta Krakow (3-2)EkstraklasaWieczysta Krakow Win 3.11 33.8% lost2026-08-16 12:05:41 pre-kickoff
7052026-08-20Fortaleza vs Sao Bernardo (1-1)Serie BBTTS 2.13 47.9% won2026-08-17 10:51:57 pre-kickoff
6852026-08-20Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes (1-0)MLS - Regular seasonSan Jose Earthquakes Win 3.25 33.1% lost2026-08-10 06:02:37 pre-kickoff
6842026-08-20Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal (1-2)MLS - Regular seasonColumbus Crew Win 1.78 58.7% lost2026-08-10 00:01:34 pre-kickoff
6722026-08-20Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC (1-2)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.67 61.6% won2026-08-07 16:36:58 pre-kickoff
6712026-08-20Toronto FC vs Charlotte (3-3)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.69 60.3% won2026-08-07 16:36:58 pre-kickoff
7032026-08-17New York City vs Philadelphia Union (2-3)MLS - Regular seasonBTTS 1.60 63.5% won2026-08-16 12:05:41 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
6702026-08-17Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.66 61.6% lost2026-08-07 16:36:58 pre-kickoff
6662026-08-17New York City vs Philadelphia Union (2-3)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.69 63.0% won2026-08-03 02:56:10 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
7022026-08-16Odense vs Horsens (1-2)SuperligaOdense Win 1.78 67.6% lost2026-08-16 12:05:41 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6982026-08-16Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy (1-0)MLS - Regular seasonHouston Dynamo Win 1.69 69.0% won2026-08-16 02:36:01 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6942026-08-16Vasco vs Santos (0-3)Serie ABTTS 2.20 49.1% lost2026-08-14 06:44:31 pre-kickoff
6932026-08-16Chapecoense-SC vs Bahia (3-3)Serie ABTTS 2.04 50.8% won2026-08-14 06:44:31 pre-kickoff
6922026-08-16Lyngby vs Midtjylland (1-1)SuperligaBTTS 1.52 67.7% won2026-08-13 15:41:22 pre-kickoff
6892026-08-16Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla (2-1)EkstraklasaOver 2.5 goals 1.74 61.5% won2026-08-12 18:24:31 pre-kickoff
6832026-08-16Molde vs Tromso (3-2)EliteserienOver 2.5 goals 1.71 59.6% won2026-08-09 21:01:04 pre-kickoff
6772026-08-16Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United (1-1)MLS - Regular seasonReal Salt Lake Win 1.93 53.7% lost2026-08-07 19:37:32 pre-kickoff
6602026-08-16Charlotte vs Columbus Crew (3-1)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.72 59.2% won2026-08-02 05:06:03 pre-kickoff
6952026-08-15Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Krakow (3-4)EkstraklasaBTTS 1.70 60.5% won2026-08-15 08:32:28 pre-kickoff
6912026-08-15Sport Recife vs Londrina (2-1)Serie BBTTS 2.08 49.3% won2026-08-13 15:41:22 pre-kickoff
6882026-08-15San Lorenzo vs Union de Santa Fe (1-0)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraBTTS 2.06 53.2% lost2026-08-12 18:24:31 pre-kickoff
6872026-08-15Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Krakow (3-4)EkstraklasaOver 2.5 goals 1.73 61.8% won2026-08-12 12:23:22 pre-kickoff
6862026-08-13Santa Fe vs River Plate (0-0)CONMEBOL Sudamericana - 1/8-finalsDraw 3.39 31.8% won2026-08-12 04:53:57 pre-kickoff
6812026-08-12Fluminense vs Ind. Rivadavia (0-0)CONMEBOL Libertadores - 1/8-finalsBTTS 2.08 52.9% lost2026-08-09 08:59:00 pre-kickoff
6672026-08-12Deportes Tolima vs Ind. del Valle (0-1)CONMEBOL Libertadores - 1/8-finalsDeportes Tolima Win 3.06 34.5% lost2026-08-03 08:57:06 pre-kickoff
6822026-08-10Sirius vs Brommapojkarna (2-2)AllsvenskanBTTS 1.70 59.9% won2026-08-09 21:01:04 pre-kickoff
6802026-08-09Malmo FF vs Degerfors (1-3)AllsvenskanBTTS 1.84 56.0% won2026-08-08 05:27:36 pre-kickoff
6792026-08-09Botafogo RJ vs Fluminense (1-1)Serie ABTTS 1.84 55.2% won2026-08-08 05:27:36 pre-kickoff
6652026-08-09Malmo FF vs Degerfors (1-3)AllsvenskanOver 2.5 goals 1.66 62.4% won2026-08-02 17:08:04 pre-kickoff
6762026-08-08Huachipato vs Everton (1-4)Primera DivisiónBTTS 1.69 60.8% won2026-08-07 19:37:32 pre-kickoff
6752026-08-08Operario-PR vs Sao Bernardo (1-3)Serie BBTTS 2.02 50.3% won2026-08-07 19:37:32 pre-kickoff

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