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Public pick log

Settled picks only, newest first

Only picks that have been settled appear here, so nothing on this page is a live pick. Wins, losses and voids are all listed. Picks issued after kick-off, and picks touched by a past settlement repair, are shown and flagged rather than hidden. 18+ | Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.

Summary

As of 2026-11-03, excluding picks issued after kick-off: 551 settled picks (286 won, 265 lost). Flat 1-unit stake ROI is +1.70% with a 95% interval of -6.9% to +10.3% (normal approximation). The interval includes zero: this is not evidence of an edge.

Closing-line value: 138 picks (25.0%) have a stored closing price; mean difference to close +9.12%. This mostly reflects taking the best price across bookmakers and comparing it with a single closing price that still includes the bookmaker's margin. It is not evidence that the model predicts better than the market.

How we measure this · Model methodology

Log

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1068 picks. Download CSV (rate-limited).

#Match dateMatchLeagueMarketOddsModel prob.OutcomeIssued (UTC)Flags
6692026-08-08U. Catolica vs Cobresal (2-0)Primera DivisiónBTTS 1.79 59.5% lost2026-08-07 16:36:58 pre-kickoff
6782026-08-07Wisła Kraków vs Wisła Płock (2-1)PL1Wisła Kraków Win 1.78 64.2% won2026-08-07 19:37:32 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6742026-08-07Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk (3-2)Premier DivisionShamrock Rovers Win 1.98 51.9% won2026-08-07 19:37:32 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6732026-08-07Wisla vs Wisla Plock (2-1)EkstraklasaWisla Win 1.78 63.6% won2026-08-07 19:37:32 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6682026-08-07Galway vs Drogheda (0-0)Premier DivisionBTTS 1.80 57.5% lost2026-08-07 16:36:58 pre-kickoff
6572026-08-07Galway vs Drogheda (0-0)Premier DivisionOver 2.5 goals 1.69 60.2% lost2026-07-31 19:04:39 pre-kickoff
6612026-08-03Club America vs Santos Laguna (3-0)Liga MXOver 2.5 goals 1.66 63.1% won2026-08-02 08:06:33 pre-kickoff
6592026-08-03Club America vs Santos Laguna (3-0)Liga MXBTTS 1.77 59.4% lost2026-08-01 07:06:44 pre-kickoff
6642026-08-02D. Concepcion vs U. Catolica (3-0)Primera DivisiónD. Concepcion Win 1.93 63.8% won2026-08-02 17:08:04 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6632026-08-02Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin (3-1)PL1Legia Warszawa Win 2.06 57.3% won2026-08-02 14:07:32 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6622026-08-02Legia vs Zaglebie (3-1)EkstraklasaLegia Win 2.06 57.3% won2026-08-02 14:07:32 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6562026-08-02Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC (1-0)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.72 59.7% lost2026-07-31 19:04:39 pre-kickoff
6552026-08-02Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC (1-1)MLS - Regular seasonVancouver Whitecaps Win 1.91 53.7% lost2026-07-31 01:01:40 pre-kickoff
6532026-08-02Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.66 61.8% lost2026-07-29 13:14:26 pre-kickoff
6522026-08-02Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo (0-2)MLS - Regular seasonSporting Kansas City Win 3.45 30.5% lost2026-07-27 12:43:38 pre-kickoff
6582026-08-01Atl. San Luis vs Club Tijuana (0-0)Liga MXBTTS 1.79 57.1% lost2026-08-01 01:05:41 pre-kickoff
6542026-07-31Independiente vs Newells Old Boys (1-0)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraBTTS 2.16 49.5% lost2026-07-30 01:14:38 pre-kickoff
6512026-07-27Necaxa vs Monterrey (2-1)Liga MXNecaxa Win 3.21 35.6% won2026-07-27 00:41:55 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6502026-07-26Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente (0-2)Liga Profesional Argentina - ClausuraEstudiantes L.P. Win 3.21 37.9% lost2026-07-26 21:41:28 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6492026-07-26Malmo FF vs Elfsborg (1-2)AllsvenskanBTTS 1.67 61.2% won2026-07-26 00:29:05 pre-kickoff
6482026-07-26U. Catolica vs La Serena (3-3)Primera DivisiónBTTS 1.84 55.1% won2026-07-25 12:45:00 pre-kickoff
6472026-07-26U. Catolica vs La Serena (3-3)Primera DivisiónOver 2.5 goals 1.67 61.8% won2026-07-25 06:44:09 pre-kickoff
6462026-07-26Santos Laguna vs Atlas (0-1)Liga MXBTTS 1.72 59.5% lost2026-07-24 18:42:06 pre-kickoff
6442026-07-26Bragantino vs Coritiba (0-0)Serie ABTTS 1.97 51.6% lost2026-07-24 00:39:25 pre-kickoff
6432026-07-26Cruzeiro vs Botafogo RJ (0-1)Serie ABTTS 1.78 57.9% lost2026-07-24 00:39:25 pre-kickoff
6392026-07-26New York City vs Chicago Fire (3-1)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.70 61.2% won2026-07-23 03:23:09 pre-kickoff
6312026-07-26Malmo FF vs Elfsborg (1-2)AllsvenskanOver 2.5 goals 1.67 61.7% won2026-07-19 12:32:32 pre-kickoff
6452026-07-25Galway vs Waterford (0-0)Premier DivisionBTTS 1.51 67.5% lost2026-07-24 18:42:06 pre-kickoff
6402026-07-25Huachipato vs Cobresal (3-3)Primera DivisiónBTTS 1.72 61.0% won2026-07-23 06:23:42 pre-kickoff
6242026-07-25Huachipato vs Cobresal (3-3)Primera DivisiónOver 2.5 goals 1.71 62.7% won2026-07-13 07:07:14 pre-kickoff
6422026-07-24Botafogo RJ vs Vitoria (0-0)Serie ABotafogo RJ Win 3.11 35.6% lost2026-07-24 00:26:23 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6412026-07-24Boca Juniors vs O'Higgins (1-0)CONMEBOL Sudamericana - 1/16-finalsBTTS 2.23 47.0% lost2026-07-23 18:25:38 pre-kickoff
6272026-07-24Botafogo RJ vs Vitoria (0-0)Serie AOver 2.5 goals 1.71 60.7% lost2026-07-16 03:53:11 pre-kickoff
6382026-07-23FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps (4-3)MLS - Regular seasonVancouver Whitecaps Win 1.94 61.6% lost2026-07-23 00:22:49 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6372026-07-23Columbus Crew vs New York City (1-2)MLS - Regular seasonNew York City Win 3.40 34.2% won2026-07-23 00:22:49 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6362026-07-23Columbus Crew vs New York City (1-2)MLS - Regular seasonDraw 3.35 35.6% lost2026-07-23 00:22:49 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6352026-07-23Nashville SC vs CF Montreal (1-0)MLS - Regular seasonOver 2.5 goals 1.67 61.6% lost2026-07-21 01:43:48 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
6322026-07-23Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ (0-4)Serie ABTTS 2.04 50.4% lost2026-07-20 00:40:24 pre-kickoff
6302026-07-22Atletico-MG vs Bahia (1-1)Serie ABTTS 1.75 58.4% won2026-07-19 00:31:02 pre-kickoff
6342026-07-20Orgryte vs Djurgarden (0-0)AllsvenskanDjurgarden Win 3.35 31.5% lost2026-07-20 18:42:55 issued after kick-off (excluded from summary)
6332026-07-20TPS vs Ilves (1-3)VeikkausliigaOver 2.5 goals 1.73 59.0% won2026-07-20 06:41:14 pre-kickoff
6292026-07-20Orgryte vs Djurgarden (0-0)AllsvenskanBTTS 1.66 62.2% lost2026-07-17 20:39:02 pre-kickoff; repaired by settlement fix
6282026-07-20Kalmar vs Malmo FF (2-2)AllsvenskanKalmar Win 3.16 33.6% lost2026-07-16 17:35:35 pre-kickoff
6252026-07-18Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo (2-1)EliteserienOver 2.5 goals 1.70 60.6% won2026-07-13 13:07:45 pre-kickoff
6262026-07-17Botafogo RJ vs Santos (2-1)Serie ABTTS 1.74 61.7% won2026-07-14 01:56:26 pre-kickoff
6232026-07-14Ceara vs Athletic Club (0-0)Serie BBTTS 2.10 48.6% lost2026-07-12 16:05:41 pre-kickoff
6222026-07-12Malmo FF vs Goteborg (4-0)AllsvenskanBTTS 1.61 66.0% lost2026-07-09 14:55:34 pre-kickoff
6182026-07-12Malmo FF vs Goteborg (4-0)AllsvenskanOver 2.5 goals 1.67 65.6% won2026-07-06 02:43:21 pre-kickoff
6212026-07-11Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom (0-2)EliteserienDraw 3.45 30.7% lost2026-07-07 02:45:08 pre-kickoff
6202026-07-11Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom (0-2)EliteserienFredrikstad Win 3.11 34.2% lost2026-07-07 02:45:08 pre-kickoff

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